Modarres, Mohammad

        Nicole Y. Kim Eminent Professor

        Director, Center for Risk and Reliability, Professor, Nuclear Engineering

        0151F Glenn L. Martin Hall

        Phone: 301-405-5226 | modarres@umd.edu

         研究领域

        • Probabilistic risk assessment

        • Probabilistic physics of failure

        • Reliability analysis of complex engineering systems

        • Nuclear safety analysis

        • Prognosis and health management

        教育背景

        • Ph.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1980

        Honors and Awards

        • 2008 International Research Leadership Award conferred by the Society for Reliability Engineering Quality and Operations Management

        • Distinguished Scholar-Teacher Award, 1994-95

        • Fellow, American Nuclear Society

        Professional Memberships

        • Fellow, American Nuclear Society. (January 1988 - Present);

        • Editorial Board, Reliability Engineering and System Safety Journal. (January 2010 - Present)

        • Editorial Board, Journal of Risk and Reliability. (April 2005 - Present)

        • Associate Editor, International Journal on Performability Engineering. (January 2005 - Present)

        • Editorial Board, International Journal of Reliability and Safety (IJRS). (December 2004 - Present)

         发表论文

        • A Thermodynamic Entropy-Based Damage Assessment with Applications to Prognosis and Health Management, A. Imanian, M. Modarres, Structural Health Monitoring, February 2017, pp.1-5, DOI: 10.1177/1475921716689561

        • Advances in Multi-Unit Nuclear Power Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessment, M. Modarres, T. Zhou, M. Massoud, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, J., Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Volume 157, January 2017, Pages 87–100.

        • A Prognostics Approach Based on the Evolution of Damage Precursors using Dynamic Bayesian Networks, E. Rabiei, E. L. Droguett, M. Modarres, Advances in Mechanical Engineering, Advances in Mechanical Engineering, Vol. 8(9), 2016, pp1–19.

        • Thermodynamic Entropy Generation in the Course of the Fatigue Crack Initiation, V. Ontiveros, M. Amiri, A. Kahirdeh, M. Modarres, Fatigue & Fracture Engineering of Material Structures, 2016, 00 1–12, DOI: 10.1111/ffe.12506.

        • Thermodynamics as a Fundamental Science of Reliability, A. Imanian, M. Modarres, Int. J. of Risk and Reliability, Vol.230(6), pp.598-608. DOI: 10.1177/1748006X16679578.

        • Sensor-Based Bayesian Inference and Placement: Review and Examples, Christopher S. Jackson, Mohammad Modarres, International Journal of Performability, Volume 12, Number 1, January 2016, pp. 13-32.

         著作、书籍

        • Statistical Distribution Functions and Tables Used in Reliability Engineering

        • Reliability Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide

        • Engineering and Risk Analysis: A Practical Guide Solutions

        • What Every Engineer Should Know About: Reliability and Risk Analysis

        • Commercial Nuclear Power: Assuring Safety for the Future

        • Risk Analysis in Engineering: Probabilistic Techniques, Tools and Trends

        • Probabilistic Physics of Failure Approach to Reliability: Modeling, Accelerated Testing, Prognosis and Reliability Assessment

        • Probability Distributions Used in Reliability Engineering

        会议

        • Proceedings of the Third International Workshop on Functional Modeling of Complex Technical Systems

        • Proceedings of the Fourth International Workship on Functional Modeling of Complex Technical Systems

        • Proceedings of the Fifth International Workship on Functional Modeling of Complex Technical Systems

        Cukier, Michel

        Associate Professor of Reliability Engineering

        Director, Advanced Cybersecurity Experience for Students (ACES)

        3419 A.V. Williams Building

        Phone: 301-314-2804 | mcukier@umd.edu

         研究领域

        • Fault tolerance

        • Intrusion tolerance

        • Dependability and Security evaluation

        背景简介

        From 1996 to 2001, Michel Cukier was a researcher in the Perform research group in the Coordinated Science Laboratory at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. He joined the University of Maryland in 2001 as Assistant Professor. He was the Program Chair of the 21st IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE 2010) and is the Program Chair of the Dependable Computing and Communication Symposium of the IEEE International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks (DSN-2012). He is the PI of an NSF REU Site on cybersecurity in collaboration with Women in Engineering where over 85% of the participants are female students. He co-advises the UMD Cybersecurity Club with a membership of over 400 students. Michel Cukier is an Associate Professor of Reliability Engineering with a joint appointment in the Department of Mechanical Engineering and the Institute for Systems Research at the University of Maryland, College Park. His latest research focuses on the empirical quantification of computer security. He has published over 60 papers in journals and refereed conference proceedings in those areas.

        教育情况

        • Doctorate in Computer SciencePh.D., National Polytechnic Institute of Toulouse, France, 1996

        • Degree in Physics Engineering, Free University of Brussels, Belgium, 1991 Honors and Awards

        • National Science Foundation (NSF) Faculty Early Career Development (CAREER) Award (2003)

        • Best Paper Award, Pacific Rim International Symposium on Dependable Computing (2002) Professional Memberships

        • Program Chair of the Dependable Computing and Communication Symposium of the IEEE International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks (DSN-2012), June-July 2012.

        • Program Chair of the 21st IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE 2010), November 2010.

        • Organizing Committee Co-Chair of the 2009 National Science Foundation (NSF) Computer & Information Science & Engineering (CISE) Research Experience for Undergraduates (REU) Principal Investigators (PI) Meeting, Arlington, VA, March 2009.

        • Student Chair of the 20th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE 2009), November 2009.

        • Program Chair of the Fast Abstracts of the 20th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE 2009), November 2009.

        • Workshops Chair of the IEEE International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks (DSN-2009), June 2009.

        • Member, IEEE

        发表论文

        • G. Salles-Loustau, R. Berthier, E. Collange, B. Sobesto, and M. Cukier, “Characterizing Attackers and Attacks: An Empirical Study,” Proc. 17th Pacific Rim International Symposium on Dependable Computing (PRDC), Pasadena, CA, December 2011.

        • B. Sobesto, M. Cukier, M. Hiltunen, D. Kormann, G. Vesonder, and R. Berthier, “DarkNOC: Dashboard for Honeypot Management,” Proc. 25th Usenix Large Installation System Administration Conference (LISA’11), Boston, MA, December 2011.

        • E. Condon, Z. Afoulki, E. Cummins and M. Cukier, “How Secure are Networked Office Devices?,” International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks (DSN-2011), June 2011.

        • R. Berthier, M. Cukier, M. Hiltunen, D. Kormann, G. Vesonder, and D. Sheleheda, “Nfsight: NetFlow-based Network Awareness Tool,” Proc. 24th Usenix Large Installation System Administration Conference (LISA 2010), San Jose, CA, November 2010.

        • R. Berthier, and M. Cukier, “An Evaluation of Connection Characteristics for Separating Network Attacks,” International Journal of Security and Networks, Vol. 4, No. 1/2, 2009, pp. 110-124.

        • M. Cukier, and S. Panjwani, “Prioritizing Vulnerability Remediation by Determining Attacker-Targeted Vulnerabilities,” IEEE Security & Privacy, Vol. 7, No. 1, Jan./Feb. 2009, pp. 42-48.

        • R. Berthier, J. Arjona, and M. Cukier, “Analyzing the Process of Installing Rogue Software,” Proc. International Conference on Dependable Systems and Networks (DSN-2009), June-July 2009.

        • H. V. Ramasamy, P. Pandey, M. Cukier, and W. H. Sanders, “Experiences with Building an Intrusion-tolerant Group Communication System,” Software: Practice and Experience, Vol. 38, No.6, May 2008, pp. 639-666.

        • E. Condon, Angela He, and M. Cukier, “Analysis of Computer Security Incident Data Using Time Series Models” Proc. 19th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE 2008), Seattle/Redmond, WA, November 11-14, 2008, pp. 77-86.

        Droguett, Enrique López

        Associate Professor

        Mechanical Engineering, Center for Risk and Reliability, Hybrid-System Integration and Simulation Lab

        0151D Glenn L. Martin Hall, Building 088

        Phone: 301-314-1036 | eld@umd.edu

        研究领域

        • Reliability Engineering with applications to Design and Manufacturing with special interest in Energy sector (particularly the Oil and Gas Industry and Hydropower), Mining sector, and Healthcare systems:

        o Prognostics and System Health Management

        o System Reliability and Maintenance Modeling and Optimization

        o Bayesian Methods (Inference with Uncertain Evidence, Use of Expert Opinion, Causal Modeling with Bayesian Belief Networks)

        o Development of procedures for reliability and uncertainty analysis of complex systems based on Non-Extensive Entropy (in particular, Tsallis Entropy)

        • Physical Asset Management in the Energy, Healthcare, and Mining sectors

        • Numerical Techniques and Simulation models for Reliability and Risk Analysis of Complex Systems

        • Risk Analysis:

        o Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis

        o Prediction of Extreme Events Related to Climate Change

        o Human Reliability Modeling Based on Neurophsychophysiological Methods and Use of Virtual Reality

        o Ecological Risk Analysis

        o Biological Risk Analysis

        背景简介

        Enrique López Droguett joined the University of Maryland, College Park, in 2014. He conducts research on methods for probabilistic risk analysis and reli¬ability of systems, uncertainty analysis, Bayesian methods, maintenance optimization, and ecologi¬cal and biological risk assessment. He has led many major studies on risk and reliability of complex systems such as oil and gas exploration and production, oil refineries, commercial aviation, and hydropower plants. He has over 120 papers in refereed journals and proceedings of conferences and two books in various areas of risk, reliability engineering and maintenance.

        教育情况

        • Ph.D., University of Maryland, College Park, 1999

        荣誉及奖励

        • Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Student Merit Award winner in the Ecological Risk Assessment Specialty Group for the paper "Quantitative Ecological Risk Assessment of Industrial Accidents: The Case of Oil Ship Transportation in Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil", with PhD Student Heitor Duarte (2012)

        

        • Patron Professor Honor by the Production Engineering Undergraduate Class of 2005

        • Honored Professor by the Production Engineering Undergraduate Class of 2003

        • Honored Professor by the Production Engineering Undergraduate Class of 2004

        • Honored Professor by the Production Engineering Undergraduate Class of 2007

        • NASA Group Achievement Award (1998)

        • NASA Letter of Recognition for Technical Excellence (1998)

         组织职责

        • Society for Risk Analysis

        • IEEE Society

        • Society of Petroleum Engineers

        • European Safety and Reliability Association (as president of ABRISCO, the Brazilian Risk Analysis, Safety and Reliability Association)

        • Brazilian Society of Operations Research

        • Brazilian Association of Industrial Engineering

        • Brazilian Association for Risk Analysis, Process Safety and Reliability (ABRISCO)

         发表论文

        Books

        1. Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L. “Novel and Faster Ways for Solving Semi-Markov Processes: Mathematical and Numerical Issues”. 1 ed. Saarbrücken, Germany: LAP - Lambert Academic Publishing, 2010.

        2. Lins, I.D.; Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L. “Support Vector Machines and Particle Swarm Optimization: Applications to Reliability Prediction”. 1 ed. Saarbrücken, Germany: LAP - Lambert Academic Publishing, 2010.

         Journal Papers

        1. Pascual, R.; Madariaga, R.; Santelices, G.; Godoy, D.; Droguett, E.L. “A Structured Methodology to Optimize Throughput of Production Lines.” International Journal of Mining, Reclamation and Environment, (accepted), 2014.

        2. Moura, M. C.; Lins, I. D.; Droguett, E.L.; Soares, R.; Pascual, R. “A Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm for Determining Efficient Risk-Based Inspection Programs.” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, (accepted), 2014.

        3. Droguett, E.L; Lins, I.D; Moura, M.C; Zio, E.; Jacinto, C.M.C. “Variable Selection and Uncertainty Analysis of Scale Growth Rate under Pre-Salt Oil Wells Conditions using Support Vector Regression.” Journal of Risk and Reliability (accepted), 2014.

        4. Martins, M.R.; Schleder, A.; Droguett, E.L. “A Methodology for Risk Analysis Based on Hybrid Bayesian Networks - Application to the Regasification System of Liquefied Natural Gas Onboard of a Floating Storage and Regasification Unit.” Risk Analysis (accepted), 2014.

        5. Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L.; Ferreira, R.; Firmino, P.R.A. “A Competing Risk Model for Dependent and Imperfect Condition-Based Preventive and Corrective Maintenances.” Journal of Risk and Reliability (accepted), 2014.

        6. Droguett, E.L.; Mosleh, A. “Bayesian Treatment of Model Uncertainty for Partially Applicable Models.” Risk Analysis, v.34, p. 252-270, 2014.

        7. Duarte, H.; Droguett, E.L.; Moura, M. C.; Barbosa, C.; Gomes, E.; Barbosa, V.; Araujo, M. “An Ecological Model for Quantitative Risk Assessment for Schistosomiasis: the Case of a Patchy Environment in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil.” Risk Analysis, v.34, p.831-846, 2014.

        8. Leite, F.S.; Silva, M.A.; Araujo, M.; Silva, R.A.; Droguett, E.L. “Modeling Subsurface Gas Release in Tropical and Shallow Waters: Comparison with Field Experiments off Brazil's Northeast Coast.”Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, v.20, p.150-173, 2014.

        9. Droguett, E.L.; Mosleh, A. “Integrated treatment of model and parameter uncertainties through a Bayesian approach.” Journal of Risk and Reliability, v. 227, p. 41-54, 2013.

        10. Lins, I.D.; Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L.; Zio, E.; Jacinto, C.M. “Failure Prediction of Oil Wells by Support Vector Regression with Variable Selection, Hyperparameter Tuning and Uncertainty Analysis”. Chemical Engineering Transactions, v. 33, p. 817-822, 2013.

        11. Lins, I.D.; Rego, L.C.; Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L. “Selection of security system design via games of imperfect information and multi-objective genetic algorithm.” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 112, p. 59-66, 2013.

        12. Lins, I.D.; Araujo, M.; Moura, M.C.; Silva, M.A.; Droguett, E.L. “Prediction of sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic by support vector machines.” Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2013.

        13. Duarte, H.O.; Droguett, E.L; Araújo, M.; Teixeira, S.F. “Quantitative Ecological Risk Assessment of Industrial Accidents: The Case of Oil Ship Transportation in the Coastal Tropical Area of Northeastern Brazil.” Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, v.19, p.1457-1476, 2013.

        14. Ak, R.; Li, Y.; Vitelli, V.; Zio, E.; Droguett, E.L.; Jacinto, C.M. “NSGA-II-trained neural network approach to the estimation of prediction intervals of scale deposition rate in oil & gas equipment.” Expert Systems with Applications, v.40, p.1205-1212, 2013.

        15. Droguett, E.L; Mosleh, A. “Integrated treatment of model and parameter uncertainties through a Bayesian approach.” Journal of Risk and Reliability, v.227, p.41-54, 2013.

        16. Lins, I.D.; Moura, M.C.; Droguett, E.L.; Zio, E. “A particle swarm-optimized support vector machine for reliability prediction.” Quality and Reliability Engineering International, v. 28, p. 141-158, 2012.

        17. Leite, F.S.; Araujo, M.; Silva, M.; Silva, R.; Tyaquica, P.; Droguett, E.L. “Field Study of a Simulated Subsurface Gas Blowout in Tropical and Shallow Water along the Brazilian Coast.” Tropical Oceanography, v. 40, p. 240-261, 2012.

        18. Baraldi, P.; Di Maio, F.; Zio, E.; Sauco, S. ; Droguett, E.L.; Jacinto, C.M. “Sensitivity Analysis of Scale Deposition on Equipment of Oil Wells Plants.” Chemical Engineering Transactions, v. 26, p. 327-332, 2012.

        19. Moura, M.C; Lins, I.D.; Droguett, E.L.; Zio, E. “Failure and reliability prediction by support vector machines regression of time series data.” Reliability Engineering & Systems Safety, v. 96, p. 1527-1534, 2011.

        20. Lins, I.D.; Droguett, E.L. “Redundancy allocation problems considering systems with imperfect repairs using multi-objective genetic algorithms and discrete event simulation.” Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, v. 19, p. 362-381, 2011.

         Books

        • Novel and Faster Ways for Solving Semi-Markov Processes: Mathematical and Numerical Issues

        • Support Vector Machines and Particle Swarm Optimization: Applications to Reliability Prediction

         Professor

        Civil & Environmental Engineering

        Applied Mathematics & Scientific Computation

        Director, Center for Technology & Systems Management

        Affiliate Professor, Engineering & Public Policy

        Co-Director, Intelligent Systems Laboratory

        0305 Glenn. L. Martin Hall

        Email: ba@umd.edu

        Phone:301-405-1956

         研究领域

         • Project and Infrastructure Risk Analysis and Management

         • Uncertainty Analysis and Modeling

         • Reliability, Risk and Decision Analysis for Socioeconomic and Technology Systems

         • Finance and Legal including Liability and Policy Risk Analysis

         教育

         Ph.D., Civil Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 1983

         荣誉

         • Commander's Award for Public Service, HQ US Army Corps of Engineers, 2007

         • Jimmie Hamilton Awards for the best papers American Society of naval Engineers , 1985, 1992, 2000 and 2003

         • Outstanding Research Oriented Paper award in the Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, American Society of naval Engineers, 1987

         • Edmund Friedman Award, American Society of naval Engineers, 1989

         • Walter Huber Research Prize, American Society of naval Engineers, 1997

         • K. S. Fu Award of NAFIPS, 1995

         • Fellow, American Society of Engineering Education, Office of Naval Research, U. S. Navy, 1993-94, 2000-01, and 2007-08.

         • Appointee on the working group on higher education of the transition team of Governor Martin O’Malley, 2006-07.

         • Advisor to Governor Martin O’Malley on the Governor Emergency Management Advisory Council, 2011-present.

         • President’s Award, American Society of Naval Engineers, American Society of naval Engineers, 2005.

         • Certificate of recognition for outstanding service, Design Philosophies of the Hull Structure Committee, Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers, 2005.

         • Certificate of recognition, ASME Codes and Standards 125th anniversary for dedicated voluntary service, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2009.

         • Certificate of Gratitude for Active, Impartial and Significant Contribution as an International Evaluator, Georgia National Science Foundation, Tiblisi, Georgia, 2010.

         • Service recognition certificates (count) by ASME (5), ASNE (1), ONR(1), SNAME (1) & Depart. of the Army (COE) (2) for work on codes, standards & journals including the COE Award for Public Service in 2007.

         • Delivered invited talks at leading organizations including most recently a distinguished lecture to the Brazilian Research Agency, the Department of Homeland Security, Naval War College for the Chief of Naval Operations, the Army Corps of Engineers, and the Australian national Marine Safety Committee

         协会职责

         • Fellow ASCE, ASME & SNAME, and sr. member IEEE; chaired several of their committees

         • On the editorial boards of SNAME’s Journal of Ship Research, Ships and Offshore Structures Journal, Naval Engineers Journal (NEJ),

         • Chaired NEJ Committee receiving ASNE President’s Award 2005.

         • Chaired the International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA90, ISUMA93, ISUMA95, ISUMA03 and ISUMA11

         • Chaired ASCE's ICVRAM 2011, NAFIPS conference 1995, receiving K.S. Fu service award; and chaired the ASME safety and risk division (SEARD), ASME service (2006) and SERAD (2009) awards.

         发表论文

         • Ayyub, B. M., Foster, J., McGill, W. L., “Risk Analysis of a Protected Hurricane-Prone Region I: Model Development,” ASCE Natural Hazards Review, May 2009, 38-53, DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2009)10:2(38).

         • Avrithi, K., and Ayyub, B. M., “Load and Resistance Factor Design LRFD of Nuclear Straight Pipes for Loads That Cause Primary Stress,” Journal of Pressure Vessel Technology, ASME, Vol. 132, April 2010, 1.1-14.

         • Ayyub, B. M., “On Uncertainty in Information and Ignorance in Knowledge,” J. General Systems, 39(4), May 2010, 415-435.

         • Shamoo, A. E., and Ayyub, B. M., “Benefit/Risk Estimates in Clinical Trials,” Drug Information Journal, Drug Information Association, 2011, Vol 45, pp 1-7, 0092-8615/2011.

         • Ayyub, B. M., and Braileanu, H. G., and Qureshi, N., “Prediction and Impact of Sea Level Rise on Properties and Infrastructure of Washington, DC,” Risk Analysis Journal, Society for Risk Analysis, 2011 Oct 28. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01710.x.

         • Ayyub, B. M., and Parker, L. “Financing Nuclear Liability,” Science, 334, 16 December 2011, 1494.

         书籍

         • Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences

         • Probability, Statistics and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists

         • Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics

         • Elicitation of Expert Opinion for Uncertainty and Risks

         • Numerical Methods for Engineers

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